This paper examines the implications of changes in economic behaviour for simple inflation-forecast–based monetary rules of the type currently used at two inflation-targeting central banks. Three types of changes in economic behaviour are considered, changes that are motivated by developments...

Recent empirical studies examining the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks on economic activity do not systematically control for the non-monetary sources of fluctuations as well as the endogenous component of monetary policy. The evidence of asymmetry could simply reflect the failure to...

In this paper, we offer one possible way to estimate a key feature of the Bank of Canada’s main macroeconomic model, the Quarterly Projection Model or QPM. The key feature which is the focus of this study is the so-called "short-run equilibrium values" or SREQs which link the dynamic portion...

This paper studies a general-equilibrium model of a dynamic economy with menu costs. Each firm's productivity is exposed to idiosyncratic and aggregate productivity shocks around a trend, and the money supply to monetary shocks around a trend. All consumption, pricing, and production decisions...

This paper studies a general equilibrium model with multiple stages of production and sticky prices. Working through the input-output relations among industries at different stages and the timing of firms' pricing decisions, the model generates persistent fluctuations in both the inflation rate...

This study focuses on dynamic asset pricing implications for consumption and portfolio shares. First, we exploit the investors' intertemporal budget constraint and the induced national saving identity to construct US total wealth. We then document the empirical shares using aggregate consumption...

The business cycle implications of optimal wage indexation are investigated in a dynamic general equilibrium model with wage contracts. As in Gray's seminal contribution on wage indexation, it is shown that the optimal degree of indexation depends on the relative volatilities of monetary and...

We build a dynamic general equilibrium model of a semi-small open economy in which staggered wage contracts are the only source of nominal rigidity. The model is capable of generating highly variable real and nominal exchange rates while predicting relative variabilities of prices and...

We use a dynamic general equilibrium model to obtain quantitative estimates of the welfare costs of nominal wage contracts. We find that the welfare costs of such contracts can vary quite a bit depending on the degree of indexation, the size and persistence of money supply uncertainty and the...