The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, the monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate, for February 2002.

The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate for the first and second quarter of 2002.

The paper presents a high-frequency (monthly) forecast for six macroeconomic indicators: industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, households’ savings and exchange rate.

The purpose of this paper is to offer an analysis of the behaviour of the money demand, inflation and their determinants, with a focus on the short-term impact of external shocks. Taking into account the weak structure of the Romanian economy (Dobrescu, 1997) the authors confined the study to...

The Barometer intends to present on a monthly and quarterly the evolution of the Romanian economy, its state and trends, by the means of the main macroeconomic indicators and aggregates and brief economic analyses: GDP developments, industrial production, foreign trade, inflation, monetary...

This paper is organized in two parts, an overview of the evolution of inflation, highlighting the factors that influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulating and researching...

The paper presents a high-frequency (monthly) forecast for six macroeconomic indicators: industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, households’ savings and exchange rate.

The paper intends to present synthetically the main approaches to computing core inflation, taking into consideration the importance of core inflation for conducting monetary policy. At the same time, the paper computes different measures of core inflation using methods based on excluding...

This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument...

At the beginning of the transition period, the public debt in Romania was insignificant. However, during the following years, the accumulating process accelerated. Although the indebtedness degree continues to be smaller than registered levels in other European countries, more dangerous could be...