The minmax solution of foreign exchange rates is a consistent efficiency test for micro and macro efficiency. Deviations from the competitive equilibrium lead to persistent devaluation and output declines. The optimal fiscal and monetary policy is estimated with a minimum and shrinking variance...

Using daily data for 1995-99, this paper estimates a simple forward looking model of the exchange rate to show that foreign exchange interventions have, on the whole, had small but persistent effects on the yen-dollar rate. Contrary to conventional wisdom, sterilized interventions have mattered....

Economic theory posits that in a fixed exchange rate regime with unrestricted capital flows, domestic interest rates must track closely those of the country to which the currency is pegged. This paper empirically tests this theory by investigating the sensitivity of interest rates in the Eastern...

Sterilized foreign exchange market intervention may affect the exchange rate if it signals future monetary policy actions. Signaling will be effective if the central bank backs up intervention with predicable changes in the stance of monetary policy and, in turn, affects current expectations. We...

Egy racionális várakozásokon alapuló modell igen erős következtetéseket ad a nominálárfolyam monetáris szigorítás utáni viselkedéséről: nagymértékű kezdeti erősödés, amit aztán fokozatos gyengülés követ. Ez a kép erősen ellentmond a tényleges megfigyeléseknek,...

This paper traces the evolution of the Federal Reserve and its engagement with the global economy over the last three decades of the 20th century: 1970 to 2000. The paper examines the Federal Reserve’s role in international economic and financial policy and analysis covering four areas: the...

Using a macro dynamic model that is specified for the current Chinese economy, we investigate the monetary policy in China under the assumption that the capital market was ¡°open¡± under WTO frame-work while the exchange rate was fixed. Our purpose here is to find whether it is possible for...

Due to the US dollar's dominant role for international trade and finance, risk-free assets denominated in US currency not only offer a pecuniary return, but also provide transactions services, both nationally and internationally. Accordingly, the responses of bilateral US dollar exchange rates...

A new monetary theory is set out to resolve the “Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle (UIP Puzzle)”. It explores the possibility that liquidity properties of money and nominal bonds can account for the puzzle. A key concept in our model is that nominal bonds carry liquidity premium due to their...

This study employs the bounds testing approach to cointegration to investigate the relationships between the prices of two strategic commodities: gold and oil and the financial variables (interest rate, exchange rate and stock price) of Japan – a major oil-consuming and gold-holding country....