The objective of this paper is to extend the results on Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PML) theory derived in Gourieroux, Monfort, and Trognon (GMT) (1984) to a situation where the first four conditional moments are specified. Such an extension is relevant in light of pervasive evidence that...

This paper investigates sensitivity of U.S. natural gas price to crude oil price changes, using time-varying coefficient models. Identification of the range of variation of the sensitivity of natural gas price to oil price change allows more accurate assessment of upper and minimum risk levels...

In this paper a new multivariate volatility model is proposed. It combines the appealing properties of the stable Paretian distribution to model the heavy tails with the GARCH model to capture the volatility clustering. We assume that multivariate asset-returns of financial stocks follow a...

GARCH models have been extensively used in risk modeling under the normal distribution. Although they generate highly significant coefficient estimates, these models are known to have poor forecasting power. It is therefore interesting to develop a different approach of risk modeling to improve...

In this paper a test procedure is proposed for the skewness in autoregressive conditional volatility models. The size and the power of the test are investigated through a series of Monte Carlo simulations with various models. Furthermore, applications with financial data are analyzed in order to...

This paper proposes a new set of transformed polynomial functions that provide a flexible setting for nonlinear autoregressive modeling of the conditional mean while at the same time ensuring the strict stationarity, ergodicity, fading memory and existence of moments of the implied stochastic...

This paper is concerned with the application of jackknife methods as a means of bias reduction in the estimation of autoregressive models with a unit root. It is shown that the usual jackknife estimator based on non-overlapping sub-samples does not remove fully the first-order bias as intended,...

Comments by Monzer Kahf, Mahmoud A. El-Gamal and M. Fahim Khan

This paper investigates the long-run and short-run relationships among tourists’ arrival to Malaysia, tourism price, substitute price, traveling cost, income and exchange rate for ASEAN-4 countries for the period 1970 to 2004 using the bounds testing cointegration procedures. The results show...