It is often assumed that if an income tax is converted to a consumption tax, the resulting change in the capital/labor ratio of the economy depends on the saving elasticity (the response of individual saving to the interest rate). In one standard life-cycle growth model, we show that, though...

Did the 2008 rebate fail to stimulate consumer spending? In their influential AER articles, John Taylor and Martin Feldstein each claim that BEA aggregate time series data show that the 2008 rebate failed. Re-examining the BEA data, we find that the data instead show there is a high probability...

The authors analyze several reasonable policy options for pay-as-you-go Social Security that might be adopted in response to a temporary demographic bulge. The bulge generation enters the economy, works, retires, andexits the economy. Three of the policies maintain a balanced budget. Under the...

Did the 2008 rebate fail to stimulate consumer spending? In their recent influential AER articles, John Taylor and Martin Feldstein each claim that BEA aggregate time series data show that the 2008 rebate failed. Re-examining the BEA data, we find that the data instead show there is a high...