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business cycle. We urge caution in using trade data to estimate the extent of globalization or deglobalization. And we present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628375
We investigate the relation between local financial development and trade credit in an integrated financial market. Our results suggest that trade credit complements the formal finance of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) at the local level. Provincial banking development in Italy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011241916
We study the collapse of international trade flows during the global financial crisis using detailed data on monthly US imports during this period. We show that adverse credit conditions were an important channel through which the crisis affected trade volumes. We identify the impact of credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293004
This paper studies the role of the credit crunch in the severe contraction of economic activity during the 2008–09 global financial crisis, using firm-level data from six emerging Asian economies. After controlling for the effect of falling demand, we find that sales declined by less for firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608215
We develop a simple information-based model of FDI flows. On the one hand, the abundance of "intangible" capital in specialized industries in the source countries, which presumably generates expertise in screening investment projects in the host countries, enhances FDI flows. On the other hand,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605303
We study the collapse of international trade flows during the global financial crisis using detailed data on monthly US imports. We show that credit conditions were an important channel through which the crisis affected trade volumes, by exploiting the variation in the cost of capital across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574408
The decline in U.S. trade during the Great Recession was worse than during previous recessions. But the difference was not merely due to the severity of the U.S. recession.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727192
This paper investigates whether banking crises are associated with declines in bilateral exports. We first develop a simple open economy model in which banking crises translate into negative liquidity shocks, leading to collapses in exports through supply-side and demand-side shocks. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790269
While several culprits have been proposed to explain the current trade collapse (e.g. the credit crunch, global production chains, generalised loss of confidence), the great synchronisation underlying the collapse suggests that it is very probably their interaction, rather than each individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072112
This paper models the global financial crisis as a combination of shocks to global housing markets and sharp increases in risk premia of firms, households and international investors in an intertemporal (or DSGE) global model. The model has six sectors of production and trade in 15 major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855010