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Interest Rate Expectations in a Model Using Leading Indicators
Klucik, Miroslav - International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences - 2014
firm in a dynamic environment according to decisions about production depending on expectations. The model incorporates the … formation of expectations in a market environment by propagation of sentiment between heterogeneous agents with limited … rationality. When incorporating expectations about the real interest rate, seen as a so-called prime mover according to the OECD …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210086
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Studying How Changes in Consumer Sentiment Impact the Stock Markets and the Housing Markets
Johnson, Mark Anthony - 2010
Consumer sentiment has the ability to provide researchers with many avenues to test existingFinance and Economic theories. Chapter 1 introduces the issues that I seek to explore within the area ofBehavioral Finance. Chapter 2 utilizes thirty years of consumer sentiment data to explore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468624
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Studying How Changes in Consumer Sentiment Impact the Stock Markets and the Housing Markets
Johnson, Mark Anthony - 2010
Consumer sentiment has the ability to provide researchers with many avenues to test existing Finance and Economic theories. Chapter 1 introduces the issues that I seek to explore within the area of Behavioral Finance. Chapter 2 utilizes thirty years of consumer sentiment data to explore extant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451110
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La crisi dal punto di vista del consumatore
Claudio, Bosio A.; Edoardo, Lozza; Daniele, Novello - In: Micro & Macro Marketing (2011) 1, pp. 51-72
Economic crisis is a recurrent reference in recent analysis of consumers. The present study, referred to Italy, focuses on the period 2009-2010 and aims at analyzing: 1. consumers' perceptions about the crisis; 2. consumers' reactions to it. The study has a descriptive-explorative nature and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010968592
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Consumer Confidence and Aggregate Consumption Expenditures in the United States
Adrangi, Bahram; Macri, Joseph - In: Review of Economics & Finance 1 (2011) February, pp. 1-18
This paper examines the relationship between consumer confidence and consumption expenditures in the US for the period 1970:1-2007:4. Consumer confidence surveys are widely reported in the business and economics media and play an important role in the direction of business decisions and equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010927822
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Government Spending Shocks and Private Acitivity: The Role of Sentiments
Jia, Bijie; Kim, Hyeongwoo - Department of Economics, Auburn University - 2015
This paper studies the dynamic effects of the fiscal policy shock on private activity using an array of vector autoregressive models for the post-war US data. We are particularly interested in the role of consumer sentiment in the transmission of the government spending shock. Our major findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011213952
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Psychology, consumer sentiment and household expenditures: a disaggregated analysis
Malgarini, Marco; Margani, Patrizia - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005
The aim of the paper is to assess the role of the Italian Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) as an autonomous driving force of consumption decisions. We test for the presence of “rule of thumb” consumers as originally proposed by Cambell and Mankiw (1991), using sentiment measures distinguished...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258877
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Habit Formation and Aggregate Consumption Dynamics
Sommer, Martin - In: Advances in Macroeconomics 7 (2007) 1, pp. 1444-1444
This paper finds that a benchmark model of habit formation in consumer preferences can explain two well-known failures of the permanent income hypothesis: the sensitivity of aggregate consumption to predictable changes in income and to lagged consumer sentiment. One novel feature of the paper's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086861
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Demand Shocks and Monetary Policy
Lorenzoni, Guido - Society for Computational Economics - SCE - 2006
expectations. I ask wether monetary policy can offset these aggregate demand disturbances and wether this offsetting is socially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342968
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Can Consumer Sentiment and Its Components Forecast Australian GDP and Consumption?
Chua, Chew Lian; Tsiaplias, Sarantis - Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social … - 2008
This paper examines whether the disaggregation of consumer sentiment data into its sub-components improves the real-time capacity to forecast GDP and consumption. A Bayesian error correction approach augmented with the consumer sentiment index and permutations of the consumer sentiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264635