This paper tests the stability of the U.S. federal intertemporal budget constraint over the postwar period. The implied equilibrium budget path is estimated and used to determine which component of the budget has greater responsibility for the recent intertemporal violations.

In this paper we develop a comprehensive short-term fiscal forecasting system of use for the real-time monitoring of the Spanish government’s borrowing requirement. Spain has been at the centre of the recent European sovereign debt crisis, not least because of sizeable failures in meeting...

We provide key stylised facts on fiscal policy developments in Spain over the past three decades using quarterly data (1986Q1-2012Q2). First, we compute stylised facts on the cyclical properties of fiscal policies over that period. Next, we report updated evidence on the macroeconomic effects of...

This paper attempts to empirically test the hypothesis that whether debt matters in the EU. This has been performed by examining the potential adverse effects of debt in large European economies on investment, inflation and growth. Using the hybrid cointegration and vector autoregressive models,...

This paper looks at the history of money and its modern form from a scientific and mathematical point of view. The approach here is to emphasize simplicity. A straightforward model and algebraic formula for a large economy analogous to the ideal gas law of thermodynamics is proposed. It may be...

The purpose of this paper is to test the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis REH by estimating a SVAR model. In this framework, we separate the co-movements of saving rate and budget deficit rate into two shocks, associated with structural parameters, as if we were looking for ‘‘two needles in...

The purpose of this paper is to test the mechanism of automatic stabilization between the dynamics of real GDP-growth and budget deficit by using structural VAR methodology with quarterly macroeconomic data of Moroccan economy. The SVAR model allows us to test and evaluate the extent of those...

The purpose of this paper is to estimate a structural VAR model using macroeconomic data of Moroccan Economy, which includes national saving rate and budget deficit rate, to test the Ricardian Equivalence hypothesis. In this framework we separate saving and deficit movements into two types of...

A number of empirical studies have investigated the impact of the federal Government budget deficit on interest rates in the US with most of them concluding that it is positive and significant on long-term interest rates. Both the IS/LM and the loanable funds frameworks through which this...

A number of empirical studies have investigated the impact of the federal Government budget deficit on interest rates in the US with most of them concluding that it is positive and significant on long-term interest rates. Both the IS/LM and the loanable funds frameworks through which this...