Using data over a 34-year span on UK quoted firms, this paper seeks to identify the factors that increase the likelihood of exit of firms. Firms may disappear through the mutually precluding events of bankruptcies and acquisitions. We use a competing-risks hazard model to determine...

We study the impact of the macroeconomic environment on business exit in a world where acquisition and bankruptcy are co-determined. We estimate competing risk hazard regression models using data on UK quoted firms spanning a 38-year period that witnessed several business cycles. We find that...

We re-connect money to in.ation using Goodfriend and McCallum's (2007) model where banks supply loans to cash-in-advance constrained consumers on the basis of the value of collateral provided and the monitoring skills of banks. We show that when shocks to monitoring and collateral dominate those...

Optimal nominal interest rates rule are usually set assuming that the underlying world is linear. Our work relaxes this assumption and examines the performance of optimal rules when non-linearities are present. In particular if the inflation-output trade off exhibits non linearities...

This paper is concerned with the estimation and simulation of a model of aggregate private sector non-residential investment. Its interest in investment centres on two main issues: the first is the role of the equity market in the transmission mechanism, while the second is the possibility of...

This paper provides some empirical evidence of asymmetric price adjustment. There have been a number of models put forward recently by Tsiddon and Ball and Mankiw in which it is optimal for the firm to respond asymmetrically to cost and demand shocks. In this paper this hypothesis is...

Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models featuring imperfect competition and nominal rigidities have become central for the analysis of the monetary transmission mechanism and for understanding the conduct of monetary policy. However, it is agreed that the benchmark model fails to generate...

This paper uses an asymmetric multivariate model to investigate asymmetries in employment and pricing behaviour by firms. This generalises the approach of Granger and Lee (1989) and also exploits the cross-equation restrictions on the equations for prices and employment implied by a restricted...

There is now a plethora of non-linear time-series models of output over the business cycle, and considerable empirical evidence that there are key non-linear, poorly understood mechanisms at work. Inventories, though a small part of the total flow of national income, play a disproportionately...