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Recent crises have seen very large spikes in asset price risk without dramatic shifts in fundamentals. We propose an explanation for these risk panics based on self-fulfilling shifts in risk made possible by a negative link between the current asset price and risk about the future asset price....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008628430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008390168
The sharp increase in both gross and net capital flows over the past two decades has led to a renewed interest in their determinants. Most existing theories of international capital flows are in the context of models with only one asset, which only have implications for net capital flows, not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005720475
Recent crises have seen very large spikes in asset price risk without dramatic shifts in fundamentals. We propose an explanation for these risk panics based on self-fulfilling shifts in risk made possible by a negative link between the current asset price and risk about the future asset price....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008554217
The surge in international asset trade since the early 1990s has lead to renewed interest in models with international portfolio choice, an aspect that was largely cast aside when the ad-hoc portfolio balance models of the 1970s were replaced by models of optimizing agents. We develop the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123503
We develop a new theory of international capital flows based on dispersed information across individual investors. There is extensive evidence of information heterogeneity within and across countries, which has proven critical to understanding asset price behavior. We introduce information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005580454
Noisy rational expectations models, in which agents have dispersed private information and extract information from an endogenous asset price, are widely used in finance. However, these linear partial equilibrium models do not fit well in modern macroeconomics that is based on non-linear dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744185
It is well established that private information is critical to our understanding of asset prices. In this paper we argue that it also affects international capital flows and use a simple two-country DSGE model to illustrate its impact. We show that private information (i) increases the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008138103
We develop a new theory of international capital flows based on dispersed information across individual investors. There is extensive evidence of information heterogeneity within and across countries, which has proven critical to understanding asset price behavior. We introduce information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662291