Aggarwal, Nidhi; Singh, Manish; Thomas, Susan - Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR) - 2012
Distance-to-default (DtD) from the Merton model has been used in the credit risk literature, most successfully as an input into reduced form models for forecasting default. In this paper, we suggest that the change in the DtD is informative for predicting change in the credit rating. This is...