The paper updates a warning launched by the author a year earlier regarding the effects of Inward/Outward Processing Trade flows, already entered a marginal decrease path. The high volatility of these flows, totally escaping the perception of decision makers, is threatening Romania’s...

A large literature on the appropriate sequencing of financial liberalization suggests that removing capital controls prematurely may contribute to currency instability. This paper investigates whether legal restrictions on international capital flows are associated with grated currency stability.

The financial crises that have occurred in recent decades, affecting the entire international financial system and beyond, have highlighted the existing gaps in the models of country risk analysis, models that cannot provide, in most cases, an anticipation of the collapse. The crisis...

The study is emphasizing the weak performances of the Romanian economy, unable to turn positive the current account deficits. On the contrary, because of rising problems in deficits financing through autonomous flows, the debt accumulation could lead Romania on the brink of entering a financial...

Developments in Hungary’s external assets and external liabilities are particularly important in assessing the external vulnerability of the economy. Focusing mainly on the financing processes, this study presents an overview of the structure of the foreign funds between 1998 and 2012, and...

This paper examines how structural policies can influence a country's risk of suffering financial turmoil. Using a panel of 184 developed and emerging economies from 1970 to 2009, the empirical analysis examines which structural policies can affect financial stability by either shaping the...

This paper brings together the results from new empirical analysis on how – under international capital mobility – financial account structure and structural policies can contribute to financial stability. More specifically, the analysis has identified features of financial accounts and...

Uruguay has experienced a remarkable recovery since the 2002 crisis, supported by sound policies and favorable external conditions. With the framework put in place in 2002, Uruguay abandoned an exchange rate peg in favor of a free float, adoped a monetary regime initially based on money targets,...

This paper explores structural shifts in the current account of India's balance of payments alongside the micro foundations from 1950 to 2008. Key structural features that emerge are the disappearance of twin deficits and the reversal of a unidirectional causality in the post-reform period from...

This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set from the Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in emerging markets. We find that German banks reacted to the...