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The paper introduces a model for forecasting match results for the top tier of men’s professional tennis, the ATP tour. Employing a Bradley-Terry type model, and utilising the data available on players’ past results and the surface of the contest, we predict match winners for the coming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577335
The United Kingdom National Lottery is a member of a lottery block that offers a weekly lotto game, known as EuroMillions, for which tickets are now sold across nine countries. The paper examines whether the game has cannibalised sales in the pre-existing national lotto game and whether, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256334
In this paper we present a method for performing regression with stable disturbances. The method of maximum likelihood is used to estimate both distribution and regression parameters. Our approach utilises a numerical integration procedure to calculate the stable density, followed by sequential...
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The paper identifies key changes in the betting environment that have raised risks to the integrity of sport. The risks are discussed in the context of a model where potential fixers evaluate the costs and benefits to them of engaging in manipulation of events on the field for betting gain....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427011