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Output Gap Uncertainty and the Optimal Fiscal Policy in the EU

Kuusi, Tero - In: Review of Economics 69 (2018) 2, pp. 111-146

the output gap uncertainty (i.e. the difficulty to distinguish between cyclical and trend shocks in real time) has large …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619367

Prediction of Tender Price Index Directional Changes

Ng, S. Thomas; Cheung, Sai On; Lam, Ka Chi; Skitmore, Martin - 2000

100%, while the ‘downward’ group has a hit rate of 75% suggesting the ‘downward’ trend to be more difficult movement to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437815

Alternative explanations of the volatility trend : Are they really that different?

Rubin, Amir; Smith, Daniel - 2009

volatility trend. We find that many of the different explanations capture the same unusual trend around the Millennium. We find … trend in volatility over long periods. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437914

Globale Trends ... : Perspektiven für die Weltgesellschaft

Stiftung Entwicklung und Frieden; Universität …; … - Bonn : Stiftung Entwicklung und Frieden; 1991-2015: … - [1.]1991 - 2.1993/94(1993); [3.]1996(1995); …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000371689

Three Essays on Trend Analysis and Misspecification in Structural Econometric Models

Doorn, David John - 2003

appropriate. For most series a trend function with one or more breaks offers a better fit and also generates stationarity. The … impact of different trend specifications on univariate forecasting of inventories is also considered.The second essay …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431311