This paper makes three contributions to our understanding of the price discovery process in currency markets. First, it provides evidence that this process cannot be the familiar one based on adverse selection and customer spreads, since such spreads are inversely related to a trade's likely...

This paper attempts to uncover the determinants of the dealer bid-ask spread in the foreign exchange market. Prior research has examined the Huang–Masulis model wherein the spread is modelled as a function of dealer competition and volatility. We first extend this model to a much larger...

Intervention by the Reserve Bank of Australia on foreign exchange markets from 1993 to 1997 is conjectured to have been determined by exchange rate trend correction, exchange rate volatility smoothing and profitability considerations. Using Probit and friction models, we show that these factors...

One of the great unknowns in international finance is the process by which new information influences exchange rate behavior. Until recently, data constraints have limited our ability to examine this issue. The Olsen and Associates high-frequency spot market data greatly expand the range of...

An important puzzle in international finance is the failure of the forward exchange rate to be a rational forecast of the future spot rate. It has often been suggested that this puzzle may be resolved by using better statistical procedures that correct for both non-stationarity and nonnormality...

Evidence from psychology shows that people tend to be overconfident in two dimensions: they underestimate uncertainty and overestimate their own abilities. This paper provides evidence that foreign exchange dealers are likewise overconfident in both dimensions.We study overconfidence because...

This paper examines the forward premium puzzle based on 1-week forward rates across weekdays. The paper finds that Thursday consistently appears to be a special day on which the puzzle disappears, while it is present on other weekdays. In addition to Thursday, Monday is also found to be a...

This paper examines the valuation effects of corporate name changes involved oil related terms during recent oil price surges. Using data from the U.S. and Canadian stock markets, we show that there is a tendency for companies in both markets to add oil or petroleum to their corporate names when...

For the first time, non-parametric statistical tests, originally developed by Sherry (1992) to test the efficiency of information processing in nervous systems, are used to ascertain if the Asian FX rates followed random walks. The stationarity and serial independence of the price changes are...

This paper makes three contributions to our understanding of the price discovery process in currency markets. First, it provides evidence that this process cannot be the familiar one based on adverse selection and customer spreads, since such spreads are inversely related to a trade's likely...