We hypothesize that persistent exchange-rate movements are a distress risk and a state variable in the Merton (1973) sense. To test our hypothesis, we use the tracking portfolio approach of Lamont (2001) to capture news about future persistent exchange-rate movements. We find empirical evidence...

The present paper explores the cross-sectional pricing power of foreign exchange volatility in the US stock market by decomposing it into short- and long-run components. Our approach is motivated by Bartov et al. (1996). Empirically, we find supporting evidence that the long-run component of...

Financial market information can provide an objective assessment of losses anticipated from global warming. In a Merton-type asset pricing model, with asset prices affected by perceived changes in investment opportunities due to global warming, the risk premium is significantly negative and...

In this paper, we explore an alternative explanation of the exposure puzzle, the missing variable bias in previous studies. We propose to correct the bias with the quantile regression technique invented by Koenker and Bassett (Econometrica 46:33–51, <CitationRef CitationID="CR30">1978</CitationRef>). Empirically, as soon as we take into...</citationref>

The insignificance of currency risk in emerging markets is particularly puzzling, given a lack of hedging instruments and volatile currency movements in these markets. In this paper, we conjecture that this puzzle may be due to the comovement between exchange rates and the market factor in these...

The notion that real aggregate activity exerts important influence on stock returns has strong theoretical appeal but weak empirical support. We argue in this paper that the lack of empirical reaction to macro news might be at least partly due to the usual focus on macro variables, which are...