This paper assesses the long-term relationship between consumption spending and stock market wealth in the context of the life-cycle hypothesis in South Africa. A distinction is made between the expected and unexpected changes in stock market wealth and their effects on consumption spending. The...

The emergence of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) grouping and the rapid advancement of their stock market may results in the acceleration of the appreciation of their respective currencies and ultimately the loss of their trade competitiveness. Conversely, exchange rate...

The macroeconomic response to uncertainty for India is studied in a structural model that decomposes uncertainty into negative and positive contributions. The results show that uncertainty shocks reduce industrial production, lead to an exchange rate depreciation, lowers prices and increases...

Since the adoption of inflation rate targeting policy, there has been a great concern on the effectiveness of monetary policy to curb inflation in South Africa. The effectiveness of the repo rate as a policy instrument to control the level of inflation has been widely criticised not only in the...

This paper assesses the extent of trade linkages and shock transmission between African economies and its main trading partners, namely China, Europe and the United States (US). Using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model, the paper investigates how shock transmission between Africa and...

This paper examines the impact of the monetary policy instrument, the repo rate, mainly on output gap and inflation rate in South Africa, over the period 1998– 2008. Use is made of a simple structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) framework in assessing the impulse response functions (IRFs) of...