Following Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) we estimate a common factor representation of a panel of output series for India, disaggregated by 15 states and 14 broad industry groups. We find that a single common "V-Factor" accounts for a large part of the significant shift in the cross-sectional...

In Ghate & Wright Journal of Development Economics, vol. 99 (2012) pp 58–67, it was noted that there was considerable variation in the extent to which different Indian states participated in the Great Indian Growth Turnaround. In this paper it is investigated whether there was any...

We analyze a panel of output series for India, disaggregated by 15 states and 14 broad industry groups. Using principal components (Bai, 2004; Bai and Ng, 2004) we find that a single common “V-factor” captures well the significant shift in the cross-sectional distribution of state-sectoral...

Although political scientists have in the last few decades learned much about the abstract properties of multicandidate electoral systems, we have accumulated little theoretical knowledge on the ways in which strategic behavior of voters and candidates changes when we move from one voting system...

A predictive regression for y(t) and a time series representation of the predictors, x(t), together imply a univariate reduced form for y(t). In this paper we work backwards, and ask: if we observe y(t), what do its univariate properties tell us about any x(t) in the "predictive space"...