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that the independence assumption of the CLT is violated by herding tendencies among market participants, and investigate … whether a generic probabilistic herding model can reproduce non-Gaussian statistics in systems with a large number of agents …. It is well-known that the presence of a herding mechanism in the model is not sucient for non-Gaussian properties, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021967
Stock markets can be characterized by fat tails in the volatility distribution, clustering of volatilities and slow … Lux–Marchesi model have been used. We show that a simple herding model with only four parameters leads to a quantitative … description of the data. As a new type of data we describe the volatility cluster by the waiting time distribution, which can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588640
results that pose implications for current market theory and offer potential practical applications. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108097
India’s financial system compares favorably internationally, but rising credit risk and liquidity pressures are putting it under strain. The staff report for India’s 2008 Article IV Consultation discusses economic developments and policies. The authorities have already taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244299
The slow-paced growth rate of the U.S. economy, notwithstanding the bolstering attempts is disheartening. Implementing financial reforms and highly accommodative monetary policy are hoped to have a desired effect. Deficit reduction, debt ratio stabilizing strategies, removal of fiscal cliff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244411
This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that Singapore has been severely affected by the global downturn. The collapse in external demand has led to a sharp contraction in GDP, which fell by almost 13 percent in the first quarter of 2009. Executive Directors have observed that the floating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245646
The West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) regional securities market saw increasing activity in the last decade, but still fell short of supplying sufficient long-term financing for growth-enhancing public and private investment projects. In addition to providing an institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242273
The staff report on Mexico’s 2008 Article IV Consultation focuses on economic and financial sector implications of the global crisis. Inflation has been anchored in a low range, and public and private balance sheets have been substantially strengthened. Most importantly, public external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242960
This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that the financial market turbulence has exposed vulnerabilities in the German financial system. The German consumer’s conservatism under the current uncertain conditions will amplify the export slowdown, and investment decisions are likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242982
This paper examines the People’s Republic of China’s Hong Kong Special Administrative Region’s 2008 Article IV Consultation. Growth has slowed in the first half of the year, as external conditions have worsened. Inflation remains elevated, driven by food prices and housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243661