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The U.S. Business Cycle, 1867-1995: A Dynamic Factor Approach

Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2008

This paper reexamines U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867. We employ dynamic factor analysis as an alternative to … reconstructed national accounts. We find a remarkable volatility increase across World War I, which is reversed after World War II …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504432

Time-Frequency Relationship between U.S. Output with Commodity and Asset Prices

Tiwari, Aviral K.; Albulescu, Claudiu T.; Gupta, Rangan - Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic and … - 2015

Commodity and asset prices have a well-documented effect on economic growth, manifested through various channels. At the same time, the business cycle influences the commodity and asset prices. Whereas empirical evidence on the effect of commodity and asset prices on the long-run economic growth...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267816

Analyse spectrale de l’évolution de longue période des brevets en France, en Allemagne, en Grande-Bretagne, aux Etats-Unis et au Japon (17ème-20ème siècles).

Diebolt, Claude; Pellier, Karine - Association Française de Cliométrie - AFC - 2008

L’application de l’analyse spectrale au domaine cliométrique a été jusqu’à présente restreinte. Elle est employée ici pour déterminer la périodicité des séries agrégées de brevets de la France, de l’Allemagne, de la Grande-Bretagne et des Etats-Unis. Après avoir rappelé la...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111523

The Future of US Economic Growth

Fernald, John G.; Jones, Charles I. - In: American Economic Review 104 (2014) 5, pp. 44-49

Modern growth theory suggests that more than three-quarters of growth since 1950 reflects rising educational attainment and research intensity. As these transition dynamics fade, US economic growth is likely to slow at some point. However, the rise of China, India, and other emerging economies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010773988

Not Just the Great Contraction: Friedman and Schwartz's A Monetary History of the United States 1867 to 1960

Bordo, Michael D.; Rockoff, Hugh - In: American Economic Review 103 (2013) 3, pp. 61-65

Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz published A Monetary History of the United States: 1867 to 1960 with Princeton University Press in 1963, to critical acclaim. Since then the book's reputation has grown and it clearly has become one of the most influential volumes in economics in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659359

Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data

Owyang, Michael T.; Ramey, Valerie A.; Zubairy, Sarah - In: American Economic Review 103 (2013) 3, pp. 129-34

A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the United...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659398

International and historical dimensions of the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008

Dwyer, Gerald P.; Lothian, James R. - In: Journal of International Money and Finance 31 (2012) 1, pp. 1-9

This article provides an interpretative overview of the papers in this special issue of JIMF devoted to international aspects of the 2007–2009 financial crisis. It then goes on to provide additional empirical evidence of two sorts. The first documents the difference between the monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577044

The Relative Volatility of Commodity Prices: A re-appraisal

Arezki, Rabah; Lederman, Daniel; Zhao, Hongyan - Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource-Rich … - 2012

This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630851

The Origins and Persistence of Black-White Differences in Women's Labor Force Participation

Collins, William J.; Boustan, Leah Platt - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013

Black women were more likely than white women to participate in the labor force from 1870 until at least 1980 and to hold jobs in agriculture or manufacturing. Differences in observables cannot account for most of this racial gap in labor force participation for the 100 years after Emancipation....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969224

Technical Change and the Relative Demand for Skilled Labor: The United States in Historical Perspective

Katz, Lawrence F.; Margo, Robert Andrew - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013

This paper examines shifts over time in the relative demand for skilled labor in the United States. Although de-skilling in the conventional sense did occur overall in nineteenth century manufacturing, a more nuanced picture is that occupations "hollowed out": the share of "middle-skill" jobs -...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969331

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