Indicators of financial crisis generally do not have a good track record. This paper presents an early warning system for six countries in Asia, in which indicators do work. We distinguish three types of financial crises, currency crises, banking crises and debt crises, and extract four groups...

This paper investigates the relationships of capital markets, frequency of recession, and fraction of time the economy is in recession. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of capital market development. However, the fraction of time the economy...

This paper deals with two, potentially intertwined issues of stock exchange governance. First, we demonstrate in a static global games model that investment propensity will vary across different types of organizational forms and competition scenarios. Exchanges organized as mutuals are...

This paper deals with two, potentially intertwined issues of stock exchange governance. First, we demonstrate in a static global games model that investment propensity will vary across different types of organizational forms and competition scenarios. Exchanges organized as mutuals are...

Loan purchase and securitization by Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and private-label commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) grew rapidly during the 1990s and accounted for more than one-half of the net growth in multifamily debt over the decade. By facilitating the integration of the multifamily...

This study analyses the performance of real estate mutual funds for 1993 through 2001 period. The results indicate that real estate mutual funds do not provide positive abnormal performance on average. Fund performance to a large extent is determined by the performance of the real estate sector...

This paper provides a new model to explain local variation in apartment rents by introducing the notion of a spatial process. This model differs from those in the literature by explicitly specifying spatial association between pairs of locations as a function of distance between them. Data on...

This study examines the performance of acquisitions in the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry around the acquisition announcement and in the long-run. The results suggest that the acquiring REITs experience statistically significant negative abnormal returns while the target REITs earn...

This paper investigates the increasing exposure of European households to risky financial assets and the consequent impact on the economy. I analyze household data for Italy and the United Kingdom, countries that differ dramatically in their financial structure and capital markets. I estimate an...

This paper studies the impact of firms' public management guidance on their ability to meet or beat analysts' consensus forecasts. The model set forth here accounts for endogeneity of firms' management earnings forecast issuance to examine whether their public management guidance raises their...