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For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
negative relations between asset returns and inflation are addressed. The generalized impulse response functions are adopted … negative relationship between stock prices and inflation. The level of real economic activity affects stock prices positively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642427
impact of inflation on stock market returns and volatility using monthly time series data from two West African countries … case holds for Ghana. Furthermore, inflation rate and its three month average were found to have significant effect on … stock market volatility in the two countries. Measures employed towards restraining inflation in the two countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643216
nominal return on stocks move in one to one correspondence with the expected rate of inflation. The relationship between … nominal stock return and inflation is examined for four stock indices. The empirical results suggest that the Fisher effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783665
evidence of a long-run equilibrium negative relation between the inflation rate and a real stock price index. The Dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827645
This study examines the impact of inflation and output growth on stock market returns and volatility in selected Asian … (1, 1) model, it is found that macroeconomic volatility, which is measured by movement in inflation and output growth …, have a weak predictive power for stock market returns and volatility in these countries. The movements of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789390
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Joining the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened for Latvia. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. In the paper Latvian economic indicators before and after entering the EU are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216353