Random probability vectors are of great interest especially in view of their application to statistical inference. Indeed, they can be used for determining the de Finetti mixing measure in the representation of the law of a partially exchangeable array of random elements taking values in a...

Move-to-front rule is a heuristic updating a list of n items according to requests. Items are required with unknown probabilities (or popularities). The induced Markov chain is known to be ergodic. A main problem is the study of the distribution of the search cost defined as the position of the...

The definition of vectors of dependent random probability measures is a topic of interest in applications to Bayesian statistics. They represent dependent nonparametric prior distributions that are useful for modelling observables for which specific covariate values are known. In this paper we...

We build on Fackler and King (1990) and propose a general calibration model for implied risk neutral densities. Our model allows for the joint calibration of a set of densities at different maturities and dates. The model is a Bayesian dynamic beta Markov random field which allows for possible...

We introduce a new class of adaptive Metropolis algorithms called adaptive sticky algorithms for efficient general-purpose simulation from a target probability distribution. The transition of the Metropolis chain is based on a multiple-try scheme and the different proposals are generated by...

Recently, an increasingly amount of literature focused on Bayesian computational methods to address problems with intractable likelihood. These algorithms are known as Approximate Bayesian Computational (ABC) methods. One of the problems of these algorithms is that the performance depends on the...

Multiple time series data may exhibit clustering over time and the clustering effect may change across different series. This paper is motivated by the Bayesian non-parametric modelling of the dependence between clustering effects in multiple time series analysis. We follow a Dirichlet process...

In this paper we study how an inner product derived from an Uvarov transformation of the Laguerre weight function is used in the orthogonalization procedure of a sequence of martingales related to a Levy process. The orthogonalization is done by isometry. The resulting set of pairwise strongly...

We build on the work in Fackler and King 1990, and propose a more general calibration model for implied risk neutral densities. Our model allows for the joint calibration of a set of densities at different maturities and dates through a Bayesian dynamic Beta Markov Random Field. Our approach...

In this paper a new Pòlya urn model is introduced and studied; in particular, a strong law of large numbers and two central limit theorems are proven. This urn generalizes a model studied in Berti et al. (2004), May et al. (2005) and in Crimaldi (2007) and it has natural applications in clinical...