Northwest Arkansas Convention Center, Rogers, Ark, June 4, 2008

Wisconsin School of Business, Madison, Wis., June 6, 2008

Macroeconomics Advisers' Quarterly Outlook Meeting, St. Louis, June 11, 2008

2008 Annual Economic Outlook Conference, Middle Tennessee State University, Murfreesboro, Tenn., Sept. 26, 2008

We study the hypothesis that misperceptions of trend productivity growth during the onset of the productivity slowdown in the U.S. caused much of the great inflation of the 1970s. We use the general equilibrium, sticky price framework of Woodford (2003), augmented with learning using the...

We study a theory in which households borrow during the first half of a 241-period life cycle as part of a DSGE. Households confront a persistent regime-switching process on aggregate labor productivity growth. When the economy switches to the high growth regime, there is more borrowing based on...

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard discussed factors that are weighing on the decision to begin normalizing U.S. monetary policy and the recent removal of the word “patient” from the FOMC statement, during the 24th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference, in Washington, D.C. He said that now...

The U.S economy has accumulated in recent years seemingly excessive levels of household debt. U.S monetary policy has responded to the situation by keeping real interest rates low. Critics of the low real interest rate policy contend that such a policy helps borrowers and punishes savers, thus...