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In this essay, I argue about the relevance and the ultimate unity of the Bayesian approach in a neutral and agnostic manner. My main theme is that Bayesian data analysis is an effective tool for handling complex models, as proven by the increasing proportion of Bayesian studies in the applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008683492
the thorough coverage of testing problems and the construction of both estimation and testing noninformative priors based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706449
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861573
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random fields, relying on a inter-model sufficiency property to show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706662
When testing a null hypothesis H0: θ=θ0 in a Bayesian framework, the Savage–Dickey ratio (Dickey, 1971) is known as a … constraints on the prior distributions. We completely clarify the measure-theoretic foundations of the Savage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073847
The choice of the summary statistics in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms is paramount to produce a valid outcome. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on those statistics for the corresponding Bayes factor to be convergent, namely to asymptotically select the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166507
In Chib (1995), a method for approximating marginal densities in a Bayesian setting is proposed, with one proeminent application being the estimation of the number of components in a normal mixture. As pointed out in Neal (1999) and Fruhwirth-Schnatter (2004), the approximation often fails short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706383
hypothesis testing based on comparisons of posterior distributions of likelihoods under competing models. Aitkin develops and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014622233
In this paper we extend the parametric, asymmetric, stochastic volatility model (ASV), where returns are correlated with volatility, by flexibly modeling the bivariate distribution of the return and volatility innovations nonparametrically. Its novelty is in modeling the joint, conditional,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555040
In this paper we extend the parametric, asymmetric, stochastic volatility model (ASV), where returns are correlated with volatility, by flexibly modeling the bivariate distribution of the return and volatility innovations nonparametrically. Its novelty is in modeling the joint, conditional,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556277