The Economic Outlook and Long-Term Growth> New Jersey Economic Leadership Forum, New Jersey Bankers Association, January 11, 2013, Somerset, New Jersey

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia 34th Annual Economic Seminar, sponsored by the Simon School of Business with JPMorgan Chase & Co. and the Rochester Business Alliance, January 15, 2013, Rochester, NY Note: President...

Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia 34th Annual Economic Seminar, sponsored by the Simon School of Business with JPMorgan Chase & Co. and the Rochester Business Alliance, January 15, 2013, Rochester, NY Note: President...

The goal of this thesis is twofold: it aims, firstly, at a description of cycles in SouthAfrican financial variables and, secondly, at the evaluation of the relationshipbetween cycles in financial variables and the South African business cycle. The studyis based on the original business cycle...

This study attempts to determine the degree to which the state of the macroeconomy can be used to create a mutual fund investment strategy that consistently outperforms the S&P 500. By quantifying how systematic economic factors affect the relative performance of different fund strategies...

A methodology is offered which can be used to construct an econometric model in the presence of structural change of an evolutionary type. The theoretical basis for such modelling is drawn from the self-organisation approach and operationalised in the context of the logistic diffusion growth...

Revenue forecasting is one of the most critical and often difficult tasks in governmental budgeting. It is critical because it determines the parameters upon which the budget is based. It is difficult because many outside influences can impact revenue results and cause variances with the...

The Grand Rapids industrial market started slow and steady in the first quarter of 2008 but made up for lost time during the remainder of the year. The vacancy rate decreased from 9.4 percent during the first quarter of 2008 to 7.5 percent at year-end. The consolidation, relocation, and...

Understanding the workings of whole economies is essential for sound policy advice - but not necessarily for accurate forecasts.  Structural models play a major role at most central banks and many other governmental agencies, yet almost none forecast the financial crisis and ensuing...