Showing 1 - 10 of 849
This paper investigates the effects of wealth on consumer spending in the United States. A traditional life-cycle model … is estimated first. Although it does find a statistically significant wealth effect, its findings are unusable due to the … offered. First, wealth is divided into stock market and non-stock market components, second into liquid and illiquid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474974
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387245
wealth distribution. The requirement introduces a positive dependence between the intertemporal elasticity of substitution … and household wealth. This dependence implies a transition phase during which the growth rate of per-capita quantities … rise toward their steady-state values and the distributions of wealth, consumption, and permanent income become more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387517
This paper explores the household behavior that underlies the link between wealth and consumption at the aggregate … level. One possibility is that changes in wealth directly cause changes in consumption through their effect on households … future income. Based on analysis of household-level data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey, we find that direct wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005721252
This paper studies the role of detrended wealth in predicting stock returns. We call a transitory movement in wealth … data, we find that these trend deviations in wealth are strong predictors of both real stock returns and excess returns … forecasting variables. ; Why should wealth, detrended in this way, forecast asset returns? We show that a wide class of optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420595
The effect of wealth on consumption is an issue of longstanding interest to economists. Analysts believe that … fluctuations in household wealth have driven major swings in economic activity. This paper considers so-called wealth effects …—the impact of changes in wealth on household consumption and the overall macroeconomy. There is an extensive existing literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027055
If asset returns are predictable, then rational expectations and the arithmetic of budget constraints together imply that these predictable changes in returns should affect current consumption. This paper presents a new framework linking consumption, income, and observable assets to expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269502
In this paper, we suggest a collective model with parents and (young) children. We identify and estimate scale economies in households and the sharing rule between husband, wife and children. While adult shares and economies of scale are identi?ed thanks to the estimation of individual Engel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269543
Lettau and Ludvigson (2001) argue that a log-linearized approximation to an aggregate budget constraint predicts that log consumption, assets, and labour income will be cointegrated. They conclude that this cointegrating relationship is present in U.S. data, and that the estimated cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269570
Deaton (1986) has noted that if income is a first-order autoregressive process in first differences, then a simple version of Friedman’s permanent income hypothesis (SPIH) implies that measured U.S. consumption is insufficiently sensitive to innovations in income. This paper argues that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367610