Variance-Gamma model is widely used for option pricing; however there has been little research on empirical performance of this model for emerging market economies. In this paper, we evaluate the goodness-of-fit of the Variance-Gamma model using index returns data from ten different emerging...

Weather derivatives provide better risk management alternatives for industries, which are exposed to weather-based risks. Dynamic pricing of weather derivatives requires a suitable underlying temperature model. This paper is the first to model the average daily temperatures and prices of...

Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to propose a feasible model for the daily average temperatures of Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, in order to price temperature-based weather derivatives; also to derive analytical approximation formulas for the sensitivities of these contracts....

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to compare the ability of popular temperature models, namely, the models given by Alaton et al., by Benth and Benth, by Campbell and Diebold and by Brody et al., to forecast the prices of heating/cooling degree days (HDD/CDD) futures for New York,...

In this paper, we utilize a mean reverting stochastic process to model the dynamic behaviour of natural gas consumption, where a Brownian motion drives the noise. We employ daily data on natural gas consumption from Istanbul, Turkey to estimate our model and evaluate the forecast performance by...