Showing 1 - 10 of 19,089
unemployment fluctuations of the last three decades. A structural VAR model for the growth rates of labor productivity, inflation … and unemployment is estimated on American and French data. By using long-run identifying restrictions, unemployment … large part of the French unemployment drift. This result questions the conventional prior that the heterogeneity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562066
unemployment fluctuations of the last three decades. A structural VAR model for the growth rates of labor productivity, inflation … and unemployment is estimated on American and French data. By using long-run identifying restrictions, unemployment … large part of the French unemployment drift. This result questions the conventional prior that the heterogeneity in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757389
differenced unemployment rate, to isolate three 'structural' shocks which drove business cycle fluctuations in Spain during 1970 … unit-root persistence in the unemployment rate. Our basic finding is that disinflationary policies in an economy suffering … from high persistence can become very costly in terms of unemployment, unless supply-side reforms, aimed at eliminating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124406
A close examination of the MENA region economies reveals a number of fundamental sources of macroeconomic fluctuations. These include economic factors such as exchange rate instability, large public debt, current account deficits, and escalation of inflation. The political factors such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108303
target and unemployment around a long-run sustainable rate – has been justified as a way of reducing household indebtedness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010733867
In this paper we show analytically, with simulation experiments and with actual data that a mismatch between the time scale of a DSGE model and that of the time series data used for its estimation generally creates identfication problems, introduces estimation bias and distorts the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010787755
Constructing bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse response functions (IRFs) from structural vector autoregression (SVAR) models has become standard practice in empirical macroeconomic research. The accuracy of such confidence intervals can deteriorate severely, however, if the bootstrap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875212
We estimate capacity output and cycles relative to it in India’s non-agricultural sector from 1951 to 2008, defining capacity as the level of output beyond which demand leads to a rise in prices. We postulate a delayed response of the price level of non-agricultural goods and services after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010850680
Recent empirical literature delivered, based on different structural VAR approaches, controversial results concerning the role of anticipated technology-news-shocks in business cycle fluctuations. We deal with this controversy and investigate (i) the extent to thich two prominent structural VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985707
This paper evaluates the relative importance of commodity price shocks in the U.S. business cycle. Therefore, we extend the standard set of business cycle shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. The resulting SVAR shows that commodity price shocks are a very important driving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048501