Graph of the month Share of foreign value added in the exports of selected countries Opinion corner What might be the economic consequences of a potential territorial break-up of Ukraine? (by Vasily Astrov) Trade integration, vertical specialisation and employment growth in the new Member States...

Updated wiiw forecasts for 2004 and 2005 (by Peter Havlik and Leon Podkaminer) Bulgaria economy keeps growing fuelled by credit expansion (by Anton Mihailov) Countries covered Bulgaria Romania booming, but cumbersome years ahead until EU accession (by Gábor Hunya) Countries covered Romania...

Russia in the global financial storm (by P. Havlik, pp. 1-4) Keywords economic forecasts, GDP growth, inflation Countries covered Russia Topics Macroeconomic Analysis, Forecasts and Policy Ukraine 'hard landing' in sight (by V. Astrov, pp. 5-7) Keywords economic forecasts, GDP growth, inflation...

Summary Despite near stagnation in the euro area and the negative impact of the Ukraine crisis, in most of the NMS economies and some of the Western Balkan countries growth prospects are viewed as positive. While the NMS economies will preserve their positive growth differential vis-à-vis the...

Iraq crisis, oil price and economies in transition (by Vasily Astrov) Countries covered Iraq Iraq and the Balkans (by Vladimir Gligorov) Countries covered Iraq, Balkan States Structural change and productivity growth in Central and Eastern Europe (by Peter Havlik) Countries covered CEE Poland's...

Graph of the month Europe Brent Spot Price, fob per barrel, in current USD and euro and real year 2005 euro (p. 1) Opinion corner Russia-Ukraine conflict do Western sanctions have any effect? (by Vasily Astrov, Vladimir Gligorov, Peter Havlik, Michael Landesmann and Olga Pindyuk; pp. 2-6)...

The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term development prospects, covering the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and Southeast Europe including Turkey, together with Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and China. Separate chapters present an overview of...

After a period of exceptionally high growth in the whole region of Central, East and Southeast Europe in the past two years, there has been some slowdown in GDP growth. Nevertheless growth remains largely robust. In particular the new member states of the EU (NMS) appear to be largely decoupled...

In Ukraine, booming private consumption and a bumper harvest contributed to an impressive 5% GDP growth in 2011. The budget situation improved markedly, and currency depreciation pressures were successfully counteracted. However, the recent monetary policy tightening coupled with weak external...

Under favourable external conditions, the economies of the New EU Member States (NMS) fared even better in the first quarter of 2006 than in 2005. Investment accelerated sharply and industry is proving buoyant. Labour productivity has registered strong gains, unit labour costs declined. This is...