In this paper, we investigate whether the recent financial turmoil which arose in the United States has contaminated the Middle East and North African countries (MENA). In contrast to Lagoard-Segot and Lucey (2009), we try to identify the existence of pure contagion (Masson, 1999) rather than...

Dans cet article, nous testons la presence de contagion durant la crise financiere asiatique. A cet effet, nous proposons une nouvelle procedure qui consiste a tester la non-linearite des mecanismes de propagation des chocs estimes a travers un modele d’interdependance de long terme. Nous...

This paper aims at proving empirically the superiority of an explanation for recent financial crises in emerging countries which combines endogenous and exogenous factors rather than focusing only on one of these two kinds of factors. To this end, we built our empirical analysis on estimations...

The object of this article, applied to the case of Korean currency crisis of 1997-1998, is to identify the contagion through an empirical study of the investor anticipations dynamics which is freed from the pseudo explanation hiding place misery by ‘sunspot’. To this end, we develop a,...

In this paper, we are interested in testing for contagion caused by the Thai bath collapse in July 1997. In line with earlier work, shift-contagion is defined as a structural change in the international propagation mechanisms of financial shocks. We adopt the Bai and Perron's (1998) structural...

L’objet de cet article est d’identifier le rôle des fondamentaux, des phénomènes de type « tachesolaire » et de la contagion pure au sens de Masson (1999) à travers une étude empirique de ladynamique des anticipations des investisseurs. À cet effet, nous estimons un modèle...