Government interventions into the financial system in the form of bail out operations or liquidity assistance are often justified with the systemic importance of large banks for the real economy. In this paper, we test whether idiosyncratic shocks to loan growth at large banks have effects on...

Government interventions into the financial system in the form of bail out operations or liquidity assistance are often justified with the systemic importance of large banks for the real economy. In this paper, we test whether idiosyncratic shocks to loan growth at large banks have effects on...

News about an individual stock normally has only a trivial impact on the aggregate economy. The news of the aggregate stock market, however, may have a significant impact on the prospects of the economy, and so has a large impact on the pricing kernel. This difference between the aggregate stock...

We extend the Lucas asset pricing tree economy to a heterogeneous population. Perturbative methods are applied to explicitly calculate the second order response of returns to heterogeneity. We determine the status of various stylized facts. For example, we find that the equity premium always...

This paper formulates and empirically tests a model that describes the balance sheet adjustments of debt and equity financed U.S. nonfinancial enterprises over the twentieth century. In this model asset adjustments change the expected income and operating risk of firms while financing...

We provide a user's guide to exotic preferences: nonlinear time aggregators, departures from expected utility, preferences over time with known and unknown probabilities, risk-sensitive and robust control, hyperbolic discounting, and preferences over sets (temptations). We apply each to a number...

This article analyzes Keynes's Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren an essay presenting Keynes's views about economic growth into the 21st century from the perspective of modern growth theory. I find that the implicit theoretical framework used by Keynes to form his expectations about...