We develop a structural cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model with weakly exogenous foreign variables, suitable for a small open economy like South Africa. This type of model is known as an augmented vector error correction model (VECM), referred to by VECX*. We compile the foreign...

We examine the effect of output shocks in different regions of the world on South Africa, with the use of a customised global vector autoregression (GVAR) model for the country from 1980 to 2010. The aim of the paper is to compare the impact of economic shocks in different countries on the South...

We study the response of South African monetary policy decisions to foreign monetary policy shocks. We estimate the extent of foreign monetary policy pass-through by augmenting standard Taylor rules and comparing the results within the context of a Global New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General...

The significant change in South Africa’s trade patterns over the past two decades should affect the impact of shocks in the rest of the world on the country, since South Africa is a small open economy. We investigate the effect with the use of a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model from...

We develop a structural cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model with weakly exogenous foreign variables, suitable for a small open economy like South Africa. This type of model is known as an augmented vector error correction model (VECM), referred to by VECX*. We compile the foreign...

This study determines whether the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach provides better forecasts of key South African variables than a vector error correction model (VECM) and a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model augmented with foreign variables. The paper considers both a small...

The causal link between tourism receipts and GDP has recently become a major focus in the tourism economics literature. Results obtained in recent studies about the causal link appear to be sensitive with respect to the countries analysed, sample period and methodology employed. Considering the...

This paper analyses the intertemporal hedging demand for stocks and bonds in South Africa, the United Kingdom and the United States. The analysis is done using an approximate solution method for the optimal consumption and wealth portfolio problem of an infinitely long-lived investor. Investors...

This paper contributes to the growing literature on the milex-growth nexus, by providing a case study of South Africa and considering the possibility of structural breaks by applying newly developed econometric methods. Using full sample bootstrap Granger non-causality tests, no Granger causal...

In this paper we are primarily concerned with assessing the degree of capital mobility in sub-Saharan Africa. Using the methodology as proposed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980)-later termed the "Feldstein-Horioka puzzle"-we test the hypothesis of perfect capital mobility against the alternative...