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The existence of base rate fallacy (BRF) bias is explored employing: (i) a context treatment with a narrative story applied to asset markets and (ii) an isomorphic abstract setting using balls-and-bingo cages. Probability estimates reflect a BRF bias in both treatments, but is stronger with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773701
In the face of dramatic recent changes in the norms of sovereign debt restructuring - the substitution of collective action clauses for unanimous action requirements in bond contracts - academics and policymakers alike have raised questions about the underlying dynamics of the drafting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012713505
The study here reviews the institutional structure of the Sudanese government. Truly, though it is stigmatized as totalitarian, the structure is phenotypically perfect. Ministry of Ministries council is supposed to cater for analyzing data concerning ministries performance, drawing strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359954
¿El Perú se escapará esta vez de “la maldición de los recursos naturales”? ¿Podrá usar los abundantes recursos que genera la minería hoy, para cerrar las brechas sociales y reorientar su economía para mañana? ¿Podrá limitar los impactos ambientales y sociales negativos, que las...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010735917
We define a solution concept, perfectly contracted equilibrium, for an intertempo- ral exchange economy where agents are simultaneously price takers in spot commod- ity markets while engaging in ecient, non-Walrasian contracting over future prices. Without requiring that agents have perfect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599776
The main objective of this paper is to present a reading of The Arcades Project by Walter Benjamin in the context of the financial crisis, in particular, reflect from a few fragments of Benjamin's work appear to lie around a Black Swan. The recovery of the fragments of The Arcades seems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008622248
Gambling is an ancient human activity with a prevalent position nowadays both as a social entertainment activity and as a way to gain money effortless. Every country has its specific pattern in gambling determined both by its cultural and macroeconomic determinants and by its national regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188975
We define a solution concept, perfectly contracted equilibrium, for an intertempo- ral exchange economy where agents are simultaneously price takers in spot commodity markets while engaging in non-Walrasian contracting over future prices. In a setting with subjective uncertainty over future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896973
The processes of mass communications in complicated social or sociobiological systems such as marketing, economics, politics, animal populations, etc. as a subject for the special scientific subbranch—“mediaphysics”—are considered in its relation with sociophysics. A new statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061040
A mathematical model was developed for opinion propagation on online social networks using a scale-free network with an adjustable clustering coefficient. Connected nodes influence each other when the difference between their opinion values is less than a threshold value. The model is used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785477