Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...

Recent results on so-called SEMIFAR models introduced by Beran (1997) are discussed. The nonparametric deterministic trend is estimated by a kernel method. The differencing and fractional differencing parameters as well as the autoregressive coefficients are estimated by an approximate maximum...

Contemporaneous aggregation of asymptotically stationary AR(1) processes is considered where the squared random coefficients are beta-distributed. Based on the sample correlation coefficients for the individual AR(1) processes, an estimator for the parameters of the underlying beta distribution,...

A flexible class of anisotropic stationary lattice processes with long memory can be defined in terms of a two-way fractional ARIMA (FARIMA) representation. We consider parameter estimation based on minimizing an approximate residual sum of squares. The method can be applied to sampling areas...

Duration series often exhibit long-range dependence and local nonstationarities. Here, exponential FARIMA (EFARIMA) and exponential SEMIFAR (ESEMIFAR) models are introduced. These models capture simultaneously nonstationarities in the mean as well as short- and long-range dependence, while...

This paper analyses a class of nonlinear time series models exhibiting long memory. These processes exhibit short memory fluctuations around a local mean (regime) which switches randomly such that the durations of the regimes follow a power law. We show that if a large number of independent...