The optimal capital growth strategy or Kelly strategy, has many desirable properties such as maximizing the asympotic long run growth of capital. However, it has considerable short run risk since the utility is logarithmic, with essentially zero Arrow-Pratt risk aversion. Most investors favor a...

This paper presents a dynamic model of optimal currency returns with a hidden Markov regime switching process. We postulate a weak form of interest rate parity that the hedged risk premiums on currency investments are identical within each regime across all currencies. Both the in-sample and the...

This paper presents a method for solving multiperiod investment models with downside risk control characterized by the portfolio's worst outcome. The stochastic programming problem is decomposed into two subproblems: a nonlinear optimization model identifing the optimal terminal wealth and a...

Nonzero transaction costs invalidate the Black-Scholes (1973) arbitrage argument based on continuous trading. Leland (1985) developed a hedging strategy which modifies the Black-Scholes hedging strategy with a volatility adjusted by the length of the rebalance interval and the rate of the...

We consider the presence of regimes in currency markets and their implications for interest rate parity. A weak form of interest rate parity is postulated and tested which assumes that the hedged risk premiums are identical within each regime across currencies. Both the in-sample (January 2002 -...