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We test the hypothesis that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability. Using thirty-four industry portfolios and the broad market index as our test assets, we establish several key results. First, a number of industries such as retail,...
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We estimate the cross-sectional dispersions of returns and growth in rents for commercial real estate using data on U.S. metropolitan areas over the sample period 1986 to 2002. The cross-sectional dispersion of returns is a measure of the risk faced by commercial real estate investors. We...
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Statistical inference in predictive regressions depends critically on the stochastic properties of the posited explanatory variable, in particular, its order of integration. Confidence intervals computed for the largest autoregressive root of many explanatory variables commonly used in...
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