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, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection</li> <li>Robust Control and Model Uncertainty</li> <li>Robust Control and Model … the Price of Uncertainty</li> <li>Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Macroeconomic Risk</li> <li>Three Types of …), <em>Uncertainty within Economic Models</em> includes articles adapting and applying robust control theory to problems in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011010980
aversion. Detection error probabilities can be used to discipline empirically plausible amounts of robustness. We describe … applications to asset pricing uncertainty premia and design of robust macroeconomic policies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002651
robustness through risk analysis, which uses Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) to estimate the probabilities of specific system …, that WIP is minimized, while the probability of the service rate being higher than 95% still exceeds 0.90. By robustness … uses bootstrapping. Short-term robustness is illustrated for a four-stage production line and several productioncontrol …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091481
We develop a belief-based account of decision under uncertainty. This model predicts decisions under uncertainty from … (i) judgments of probability, which are assumed to satisfy support theory; and (ii) decisions under risk, which are … violate the partition inequality implied by the classical theory of decision under uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214756
Estimation risk occurs in the almost universal situation where parameters of importance for decision making are not … estimation risk. Three interrelated problems in the presence of estimation risk are analyzed: (i) the choice of the utility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786510
individuals’preferences under risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005064735
ambiguity model to accommodate the investor's aversion to model uncertainty. The investor deals with specification doubts by … smaller continuation value. Unlike in the Bayesian framework, the hedging demand against model uncertainty may cause the … strategy with Epstein-Zin preferences and risk aversion chosen to match the same average portfolio holdings. This is true in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945608
Moment restriction-based econometric modelling is a broad class which includes the parametric, semiparametric and nonparametric approaches. Moments and conditional moments themselves are nonparametric quantities. If a model is specified in part up to some finite dimensional parameters, this will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731794
We explore methods for confronting model misspecification in macroeconomics. We construct dynamic equilibria in which private agents and policy makers recognize that models are approximations. We explore two generalizations of reational expectations equilibria. In one of these equilibria,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027370
robustness to asymptotic size distortion under local model misspecification, with both tests having asymptotic size equal to … nominal size under correct model specification. Robustness of the asymptotic size to model misspecification is therefore an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597196