This study makes use of a panel data framework to identify the economic signals that shape the debt repayment behaviour of the South American region. The paper employs a logit estimator with the endogenous variable based on country specific thresholds of default. A stepwise general to specific...

The paper sets out to explore the factors affecting the credit quality of the Latin American region. Specifically, a logit framework is employed based on macroeconomic and financial data to determine the causes of Latin American debt crises in the last two decades. The analysis uses a...

This Article examines the process by which overlapping interests between private bankers and government translates into influence and power mediated through the use of bank loans as instruments of foreign policy. The article suggests the market transactions often act as a matter of U.S....

The global financial unrest over the last decade has shifted the attention of banking regulators (Basel II, 2001) in estimating default probabilities for a variety of borrowers. Within a binary choice panel data framework, the current study analyzes various models and cross-examines their...

In an environment characterized by weak contractual enforcement, sovereign lenders can enhance the likelihood of repayment by making their claims more difficult to restructure. We show within a simple model how competition for repayment between lenders may result in sovereign debt that is...

This paper introduces an expected value estimator with “expert knowledge” to the robust estimation of sovereign rating transitions which are characterised by few observations. Our estimates of default premia within Mexican, Colombian and Brazilian Eurobond yield spreads provide a better fit...

This paper provides new empirical evidence relevant to the debate over the desirability of reforms to the way that financial markets and the international community deal with sovereign debt crises. In particular, given the ongoing opposition of investors and some sovereigns to greater use of...

On constate aujourd'hui, et cela etait sans doute encore plus vrai dans le passe, que l'integration aux marches internationaux de capitaux et la capacite d'emprunt sont des determinants fondamentaux du developpement economique. L'adoption d'institutions et de politiques economiques modernes par...

We study the impact of currency mismatches on changes in emerging sovereign bond spreads using new currency mismatch indicators, both at the aggregate level and for the banking sector, for 25 emerging countries. We use first a panel data estimation of EMBI secondary market spreads and a set of...

During the 52 years between the Unification of the Kingdom of Italy and World War 1, the lira was legally convertible into metal for a limited period of time. Although not formally committed to gold, the lira exchange towards the gold standard countries proved remarkably stable,...