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This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon … the resulting non-linear MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR into a linear equation system that can be easily estimated. An out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268409
This paper presents a MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR forecasting model. First, we propose a general and compact mixed … frequency VAR framework using a stacked vector approach. Second, we integrate the mixed frequency VAR with a MIDAS type Almon … the resulting non-linear MIDAS type mixed frequency VAR into a linear equation system that can be easily estimated. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252625
Building on a mixed data sampling (MIDAS) model we evaluate the predictive power of a variety of monthly macroeconomic … indicators for forecasting quarterly Chinese GDP growth. We iterate the evaluation over forecast horizons from 370 days to 1 day … 2009. Industrial production can be quite valuable for now- or even forecasting, but only if it is released shortly after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011146147
In short-term forecasting, it is essential to take into account all available information on the current state of the … available data. In this respect, the Mixed-Data Sampling (MIDAS) model has proved to outperform existing tools by combining data … addresses this point by developing MIDAS based dimension reduction techniques and by introducing two novel approaches based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010961062
the so-called Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) approach that directly exploits the information content of monthly indicators to … smoothness priors in a distributed lag model, that weakens the restrictions the traditional MIDAS approach imposes on the data to …-nested specifications. It is found that the MIDAS approach is able to timely identify, from monthly information, important signals of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819837
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can be used to predict the present and the near future unemployment rate in Finland. Predicting the present and the near future is of interest, as the official records of the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987124
The use of large-dimensional factor models in forecasting has received much attention in the literature with the … model which is better suited for forecasting compared to the traditional principal components (PC) approach.We provide an … asymptotic analysis of the estimator and illustrate its merits empirically in a forecasting experiment based on US macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851192
In recent years, a series of European labour market forecasts have been produced on behalf of, and have been published by, the European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training (CEDEFOP). These forecasts were generated using a modular modelling approach containing two major components:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907910
In recent years, a series of European labour market forecasts have been produced on behalf of, and have been published by, the European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training (Cedefop). These forecasts were generated using a modular modelling approach containing two major components,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907912
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955284