Kasuya, Munehisa; Takagawa, Izumi - Bank of Japan - 2001
We investigate the significance of fundamentals variables and uncertainty of appropriate models in one-, two-, four …-, and eight-quarter ahead forecasts of quarterly yen-dollar real exchange rates by using 16 fundamentals-based models and … the random walk model. Our empirical results show significance of fundamentals variables in two-, four-, and eight …