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framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008741269
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be … inflationary shocks are associated with statistically significant and quantitatively larger levels of inflation uncertainty than … are negative shocks. Our estimation results indicate that inflation in fact leads to inflation uncertainty in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147699
This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective … uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to … means to assess the robustness of empirical findings. Over the entire cross section, we find that both inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709334
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Turkish economy by … using contemporaneous Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) estimation methodology. Our findings indicate that inflation leads to … inflation uncertainty, and dealing with the information content of this relationship, the conditional variance of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559027
This paper explores bidirectional linkage between inflation and its uncertainty by observing monthly data of 11 Eastern … European countries. The methodological approach comprises two steps. First, inflation uncertainty series have been created by … choosing an optimal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity- (GARCH) type model. Subsequently, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011246184
to their increase, an unanticipated hike in policy rate has no impact on them. The impact on inflation is also symmetric … neutral to components of aggregate demand and, thus, on inflation, ranging from 6.25 per cent to 7.0 per cent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107770
asymmetric effects on inflation in Costa Rica during the period 1991-2009. Three basic questions are tried to be answered: Is … the relative size of the impact on inflation of a given shock on the exchange rate? Among many variables, it is found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111779
data from 1996-97Q1 to 2011-12Q4. It finds that both the shocks impact real output growth and inflation in the short …. An unanticipated hike/reduction in policy rate leads to a symmetric decline/rise in inflation. An unanticipated change in … money supply leads to higher inflation, but a similar decrease in it has no significant impact on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259315
This paper challenges previous empirical evidence on output-inflation trade-off described in the hybrid New Keynesian … backward-looking inflation components, in the Czech Republic for the periods 2000Q1 - 2012Q4 using Kalman filtration. My … findings come to surprising conclusions that (i) output gap has a (statistically) significant impact on Czech inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011195094
In the following study the relation between the public debt and the inflation will be analysed. The transmission from … the public debt to the inflation through the money supply and long term interest rate will be shown. Based on these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970520