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framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008741269
This paper explores bidirectional linkage between inflation and its uncertainty by observing monthly data of 11 Eastern … European countries. The methodological approach comprises two steps. First, inflation uncertainty series have been created by … choosing an optimal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity- (GARCH) type model. Subsequently, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011246184
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Turkish economy by … using contemporaneous Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) estimation methodology. Our findings indicate that inflation leads to … inflation uncertainty, and dealing with the information content of this relationship, the conditional variance of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559027
This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective … uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to … means to assess the robustness of empirical findings. Over the entire cross section, we find that both inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709334
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be … inflationary shocks are associated with statistically significant and quantitatively larger levels of inflation uncertainty than … are negative shocks. Our estimation results indicate that inflation in fact leads to inflation uncertainty in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147699
In the following study the relation between the public debt and the inflation will be analysed. The transmission from … the public debt to the inflation through the money supply and long term interest rate will be shown. Based on these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970520
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255780
data from 1996-97Q1 to 2011-12Q4. It finds that both the shocks impact real output growth and inflation in the short …. An unanticipated hike/reduction in policy rate leads to a symmetric decline/rise in inflation. An unanticipated change in … money supply leads to higher inflation, but a similar decrease in it has no significant impact on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259315
concerned with the modelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series: inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209436
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037