This paper studies the bank-sovereign link in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium set-up with strategic default on public debt. Heterogeneous banks give rise to an interbank market where government bonds are used as collateral. A default penalty arises from a breakdown of interbank...

Sichere und liquide Wertpapiere sind das Schmiermittel im Finanzsystem. Sie dienen der Wertaufbewahrung, um regulatorische Erfordernisse zu erfüllen, sowie als Bezugspunkt für wichtige Marktpreise. Während einige Wissenschaftler eine fortdauernde Knappheit im Angebot sicherer Anleihen und...

The German economy has veered back on an upward course, after weak growth in the summer semester 2014. In this projection, real GDP is estimated to grow by 1.5 percent in 2014, by 1.4 percent in 2015 and by 1.7 percent in 2016. Inflation is projected to remain low, with 0.9 percent in 2014, 0.7...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated in spring of this year that a more timely restructuring of Greece’s sovereign debt would have been beneficial. But what are the available options for early debt restructuring? The report argues that current reforms in the Euro area, in particular,...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated in spring of this year that a more timely restructuring of Greece’s sovereign debt would have been beneficial. But what are the possible solutions for early debt restructuring? The present report shows that current reforms, in particular introducing...

The cost of state bankruptcy in the euro area is incalculable due to the repercussions for the financial system. As a result of contagion effects, there is a risk that the entire Monetary Union could be pushed into deep recession. This forces euro area member states to implement rescue packages...

The cost of government insolvency in the euro area is incalculable due to the repercussions for the financial system. As a result of contagion effects, there is a risk that the entire Monetary Union could be pushed into a deep recession. This forces euro area member states to implement rescue...

Greece is standing at a crossroads. The need for a third rescue package has now become a critical issue. The Greek government is calling for another de facto-public debt restructuring. An alternative option presented here would be to convert existing GLF loans into GDP-linked loans. Interest...

In 2014, the German economy is expected to grow by 1.8 %. Next year, GDP will increase by 2.1 %. The output gap will decline significantly this year, but will only be fully closed in the coming year. Inflation will remain low in this environment. The upward momentum of the global economy...

The German economy is bound to accelerate in the quarters ahead, following the slump at the end of last year. Year-on-year, real gross domestic product will increase by 0.7 percent, matching last year's rise. As production will gain momentum in the course of 2013, the growth rate for 2014 will...