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We investigate how the choice of decision makers can be varied under the presence of risk and uncertainty. Our analysis is based on the approach we have previously applied to individual decision makers, which we now generalize to the case of decision makers that are members of a society. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907971
The idea is advanced that self-organization in complex systems can be treated as decision making (as it is performed by humans) and, vice versa, decision making is nothing but a kind of self-organization in the decision maker nervous systems. A mathematical formulation is suggested based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011010876
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A theory of exceptional extreme events, characterized by their abnormal sizes compared with the rest of the distribution, is presented. Such outliers, called "dragon-kings", have been reported in the distribution of financial drawdowns, city-size distributions (e.g., Paris in France and London...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600041
Following the ideas of Bohr, Von Neumann, and Benioff, we formulate quantum decision theory (QDT) as the quantum-mechanical theory of measurement for probability operators. QDT captures the effect of superposition of composite prospects, including many incorporated intentions. It is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162985
One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a "Quantum Decision Theory" of decision-making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008672365
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A novel approach to analyzing time series generated by complex systems, such as markets, is presented. The basic idea of the approach is the {\it Law of Self-Similar Evolution}, according to which any complex system develops self-similarly. There always exist some internal laws governing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084096
An approach is suggested for analyzing time series by means of resummation techniques of theoretical physics. A particular form of such an analysis, based on the algebraic self-similar renormalization, is developed and illustrated by several examples from the stock market time series.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084412
The method of self-similar factor approximants is applied to calculating the critical exponents of the O(N)-symmetric ϕ<Superscript>4</Superscript> theory and of the Ising glass. It is demonstrated that this method, being much simpler than other known techniques of series summation in calculating the critical exponents,...</superscript>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009282282