[eng] The authors illustrate the usefulness of the Bayesian approach in economic-policy assessment, which typically relies on simulations. We describe a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DGSE) model for the euro zone. The Bayesian estimation of the model measures parameter-related...

[eng] Our article describes the Bayesian approach to the most highly regarded dynamic models in macroeconomics : DSGE (dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium) models and VAR (vector autoregressive) models. We present the main concepts in Bayesian analysis and show how to apply them to VAR...

This paper analyzes how the frictions in the labor market simultaneously affect the economic growth and the long run unemployment. To this goal, we develop a Schumpeterian model of endogenous growth: agents have the choice of being employed or being doing R&D activities. Unemployment is caused...

This paper aims to resolve the conflict between the time series approach and the classical approach to test the convergence hypothesis. Using a multivariate KPSS statistic and allowing for one common break, it appears that European productivity dynamics may be split into two sub-periods. During...

This article provides a detailed description of a canonical DSGE model and presents the methods used for its estimation and simulation. Then, we conduct two monetary policy experiments using the estimated model. The first one assesses the impact on the social welfare of changes in the...