Nakamura, Emi; Steinsson, Jón; Barro, Robert; Ursúa, José - In: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 5 (2013) 3, pp. 35-74
We estimate an empirical model of consumption disasters using new data on consumption for 24 countries over more than 100 years, and study its implications for asset prices. The model allows for partial recoveries after disasters that unfold over multiple years. We find that roughly half of the...