In studies of currency crises, Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) captures depreciations and central-bank interventions in a single index. However, while the measure's three components are commonly given variance-smoothing weights, this approach has been criticized as problematic. One proposed...

Recent studies have greatly expanded the literature on the effects of exchange-rate volatility on industry-level bilateral trade flows. In this study, we examine the case of the United States and France, applying cointegration analysis to a set of 146 U.S. export and 115 U.S. import industries....

The impact of currency depreciations on trade has inspired a large body of research. Recent studies have examined industry-level trade, often using cointegration analysis, finding that a significant fraction of industries respond positively to devaluations. Oftentimes, adjustment lags result in...

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was predicted to have a substantial impact on the US-Mexico trade, especially on specific importing and exporting industries. In this article, we use annual industry-level export and import data from 1962 to 2004 to discern both the short- and...

Previous research that has tested the stability of the reserve demand function uses panel data, without incorporating any adjustment process into the testing procedure when providing evidence of instability in reserve demand. In this article, we use time-series data, as well as a bounds testing...

The transition economies of Eastern Europe, much like Latin America, have attracted a great deal of capital and thus become vulnerable to external crises. As a result, assessing the volatility of capital movements, and distinguishing between stable and transitory flows, is particularly...

Over the past half century, Western Europe has been part of varying currency regimes. Yet, whether under Bretton Woods, the European Monetary System, or the Euro, exchange-rate fluctuations have had an influence on these countries’ trade flows with the United States at the national and the...

The recent financial crisis led to such macroeconomic turmoil in transition economies that the ability of some countries to maintain their euro pegs was called into question. Others, such as Russia and Ukraine, were forced to devalue their currencies. How likely is it that one country's crisis...