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motion (GBM) process. That is, we show what difficulties can arise when failing to account for estimation risk. Our working … difficulties that can ensue when failing to account for estimation risk in valuation and hedging formulae. …We quantify the effects on contingent claim valuation of using an estimator for the volatility of a geometric Brownian …
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In the last decades, the interest in the relationship between crime and business cy- cle has widely increased. It is a diffused opinion that a causal relationship goes from economic variables to criminal activities, but this causal effect is observed only for some typology of crimes, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019479
In the last decades, the interest in the relationship between crime and business cycle has widely increased. It is a diffused opinion that a causal relationship goes from economic variables to criminal activities. This work aims to verify this proposition by using the dynamic factor model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727715
This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation both within them and between them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994611
The Paper uses a large data set, consisting of 447 monthly macroeconomic time series concerning the main countries of the Euro area to simulate out-of-sample predictions of the Euro area industrial production and the harmonized inflation index and to evaluate the role of financial variables in...
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models and multivariate volatility parametrisations. We attempt to elaborate on the fundamental structure of the Fama and … French (FF) factor model with a special focus on the time variation in risk and correlation between stocks returns and … the framework of Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio theory. We outline and compare the out-of-sample performance of these …
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