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In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the …-known stylized effects present in financial data. We consider an HAR model with asymmetric effects with respect to the volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021695
volatility, correlation, beta, quadratic variation, jump variation, and other functionals of an underlying continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834073
Se parametriza de forma conjunta la heteroscedasticidad condicional autorregresiva generalizada que corresponde al comportamiento de la varianza de tres variables: (a) el índice de precios y cotizaciones (IPC), indicador principal del mercado bursátil mexicano, (b) el emerging markets bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010780734
, focusing on the relationship between returns and conditional volatility. The conditional mean follows a GARCH-M model, while … PGARCH) were tested. We examine how accurately these GARCH models forecast volatility under various error distributions … the following: (i) the Macedonian stock returns time series display stylized facts such as volatility clustering, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621308
In theory, the price of equity is determined by the dividend yields and growth potentials of the firms. There exists … established empirical proof of the impact of macroeconomic changes to the equity markets. With the advent of Islamic equities, and … initial empirical proof for further research on the impact of specific economic variables on the changes in Islamic equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113581
Markov-switching models, improves estimates and forecasts of stock return volatility over those of the more conventional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734905
prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to … simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more efficient volatility measures as predictors of daily ranges. The array … forecasts are produced by a realized range based HAR model with a GARCH volatility-of-volatility component. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099986
Empirical evidence shows that the dynamics of high frequency–based measures of volatility exhibit persistence and … occasional abrupt changes in the average level. By looking at volatility measures for major indices, we notice similar patterns … conditional expectation of realized volatility. This allows us to address the issues of a slow moving average level of volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862527
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … subsequent shocks to volatility. However, there are as yet no statistical properties available for the (quasi-) maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907437
Of the two most widely estimated univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models, the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907440