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Does fiscal consolidation lead to social unrest? Using cross-country evidence for the period 1919 to 2008, we examine the extent to which societies become unstable after budget cuts. The results show a clear correlation between fiscal retrenchment and instability. Expenditure cuts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851354
The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, it presents a very concise way of measuring fiscal stance. This procedure is based on the assumption that the ‘neutral change’ in the government budget can best be simulated with a long-term approximation of the underlying trend of total output....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258592
The recent fears of a sovereign debt crisis have spurred interest in the sustainability of public debt. There are two … the time series approach (Trehan and Walsh, 1988). In this paper we analyze the sustainability of public debt in Italy … containing several statistical novelties: new time series estimates of public debt and GDP (respectively Banca d’Italia, 2008 and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548150
The aim of this paper is to analyze the sustainability of public debt in Italy during the last 150 years (1861-2010) by … employing a database containing several statistical novelties: new time series estimates of public debt and GDP (respectively … analyzed include public debt, primary and total deficits, nominal and real GDP rates of growth. Long-term analysis of new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636598
Does fiscal consolidation lead to social unrest? Using cross-country evidence for the period 1919 to 2008, we examine the extent to which societies become unstable after budget cuts. The results show a clear correlation between fiscal retrenchment and instability. We test if the relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201119
In 1982 Giovanni Goria became Treasury Minister. In that role he tried on his own, without the support of a united party and a coherent coalition, to carry out a plan for the rehabilitation of public finances, which he was able to delineate, not to deliver. As other Treasury Ministers, before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479005
The eurozone is in political and economic crisis. This is due to the inadequate design of the institutional structure of the eurozone and to the current poor implementation of macroeconomic policy. In designing the eurozone, well established principles of economics were ignored and major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010569083
In this paper we investigate the impact transition had on the total factor productivity in Croatia. The analyzed data cover the period from 1952 to 2008. Our sample is interesting for several reasons. It includes first estimates of physical capital for Croatia in the pretransition period. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011006964
This paper analyses the relationship between total factor productivity (TFP) and innovation-related variables during the second half of the twentieth century. We perform this analysis for several European countries (France, Germany, UK, and Spain) and the USA, extending Coe and Helpman’s (Eur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011267792
This article reconsiders the growth of Italian industry from the First World War to the eve of the economic miracle, with the aid of sector-specific new value-added series, at three different price-bases. The new estimates reduce growth during the First World War, making the Italian case...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548107